Barometr EFL dla HoReCa na II kwartał 2025:
- Subindeks: 52,7 pkt. (+2,7 pkt. kw./kw.)
- Inwestycje: 18 proc. przedsiębiorców planuje większe inwestycje (13 proc. w IQ2025)
- Sprzedaż: 18 proc. przedsiębiorców prognozuje wzrost sprzedaży (13 proc. w IQ2025)
- Płynność finansowa: 14 proc. przedsiębiorców prognozuje poprawę płynności finansowej (13 proc. w IQ2025)
- Finansowanie zewnętrzne: 10 proc. przedsiębiorców prognozuje większe zapotrzebowanie na finansowanie zewnętrzne (24 proc. w IQ2025)
– Drugi kwartał, który historycznie był dla HoReCa najtrudniejszy, dziś pokazuje oznaki stabilizacji
i rosnącego optymizmu. Od dwóch lat widzimy wyraźną zmianę sezonowości: wiosenne święta i długi weekend majowy coraz silniej wpływają na wzrosty w branży. Obecny wynik subindeksu – 52,7 pkt – to nie tylko kontynuacja pozytywnego trendu, ale również jeden z najwyższych rezultatów w ostatnich czterech latach. Dobrze rokuje także rosnący odsetek firm planujących inwestycje i przewidujących poprawę sprzedaży. Patrząc w przyszłość, spodziewamy się jeszcze lepszego odczytu w III kwartale – sezon urlopowy może przynieść rekordowe obłożenie. Zwłaszcza, że Polska ponownie staje się modnym kierunkiem turystycznym wśród Polaków. Jak wynika z badania Rankomat.pl, aż 52% Polaków planuje spędzić tegoroczny urlop w kraju, co jest zdecydowanie wyższym wynikiem niż wcześniej. To realna szansa na silne odbicie – mówi Radosław Woźniak, prezes zarządu EFL.
Branżowy wskaźnik Barometru EFL dla HoReCa na II kwartał br. wyniósł 52,7 pkt., +2,7 pkt. kwartał do kwartału. Jest to drugi wzrost wskaźnika z rzędu i jeden z najwyższych wyników dla tego sektora w ciągu niemal czterech lat, kiedy w III kwartale 2021 wyniósł 59,9 pkt. Wyższy był tylko w III kwartale 2024 roku (52,9 pkt.).
Lepsze w porównaniu do poprzedniego kwartału są przede wszystkim prognozy dotyczące sprzedaży. 18% hoteli, restauracji i firm cateringowych prognozuje wzrost zamówień w swoich lokalach w najbliższych miesiącach tego roku. Kwartał wcześniej takiej odpowiedzi udzieliło 13% przedsiębiorców. Największa grupa restauratorów, hotelarzy i firm cateringowych nie spodziewa się jednak większych zmian w porównaniu do ostatnich miesięcy ubiegłego roku (73%), a pesymistycznie na ten okres roku patrzy 9% zapytanych.
Prognozy sprzedażowe nie pozostają bez wpływu na płynność finansową. Jej poprawy spodziewa się 14% przedsiębiorców, a pogorszenia 10%. Dla porównania, w I kwartale tego roku pogorszenia kondycji finansowej spodziewało się dwa razy więcej firm (20%).
Na nieco wyższą w porównaniu do poprzedniego pomiaru wartość subindeksu Barometru EFL dla HoReCa na II kwartał br. duży wpływ miały również prognozy w obszarze inwestycji. 18% przedsiębiorców planuje większe inwestycje. Kwartał wcześniej tak odpowiedziało 13% zapytanych, a pod koniec 2024 roku zaledwie 8%. Największa grupa badanych, 72%, jest zdania, że poziom inwestycji nie zmieni się w ujęciu kwartalnym, a wciąż 10% obawia się ich zmniejszenia.
– Jeśli utrzyma się obecna tendencja wzrostowa, a wakacyjny popyt dopisze, 2025 rok może okazać się pierwszym od czasów pandemii, w którym sektor HoReCa wróci do pełnej rentowności i długofalowych planów rozwoju – podsumowuje prezes EFL.
Wartość głównego indeksu Barometru EFL na II kwartał 2025 roku wyniosła 50,6 pkt. Osiągnięty poziom jest o 0,1 pkt. niższy niż w I kwartale 2025 roku.
*************
Barometr EFL jest syntetycznym wskaźnikiem informującym o skłonności firm z sektora MŚP do wzrostu (tj. rozwoju rozumianego, jako stawianie sobie przez przedsiębiorstwa celów związanych ze wzrostem sprzedaży i produkcji, ekspansją na nowe rynki i maksymalizacją zysków, co jest związane z inwestycjami w środki trwałe). Prognozowana na dany kwartał kondycja finansowa firm MŚP daje punkt odniesienia do wnioskowania o zakładanym kierunku zmian, które sprzyjają wzrostowi lub działają hamująco na rozwój firm. Badanie przygotowywane jest przez Ecorys na zlecenie Europejskiego Funduszu Leasingowego SA., a jego wyniki są publikowane co kwartał. Jego uczestnicy to mikro, małe i średnie firmy terenu całej Polski. W badaniu wzięła udział reprezentatywna grupa 600 mikro, małych i średnich firm. Aktualna edycja badania odbyła się od 1 do 28 marca 2025 roku.
źródło: EFL
31 Responses
What i don’t understood is if truth be told how you are not actually a lot more well-favored than you might be now. You’re so intelligent. You realize therefore considerably with regards to this matter, made me personally imagine it from numerous numerous angles. Its like women and men aren’t involved unless it’s one thing to accomplish with Lady gaga! Your personal stuffs excellent. Always take care of it up!
Your article helped me a lot, is there any more related content? Thanks!
Excellent blog here! Also your web site loads up fast! What web host are you using? Can I get your affiliate link to your host? I wish my web site loaded up as fast as yours lol
Definitely believe that which you stated. Your favorite justification appeared to be on the net the easiest thing to be aware of. I say to you, I certainly get annoyed while people think about worries that they plainly don’t know about. You managed to hit the nail upon the top and also defined out the whole thing without having side-effects , people could take a signal. Will likely be back to get more. Thanks
I wanted to draft you one tiny observation in order to give thanks yet again relating to the extraordinary advice you have documented here. It’s open-handed with people like you to supply extensively what most of us could have made available as an ebook to generate some bucks on their own, primarily since you might have done it if you considered necessary. These thoughts additionally worked like the fantastic way to know that many people have the same dream like mine to find out whole lot more on the topic of this problem. I know there are some more fun occasions in the future for those who take a look at your website.
Slot tại 789f có nhiều chủ đề văn hóa: từ Ai Cập bí ẩn, Bắc Âu huyền thoại, đến châu Á truyền thống – đáp ứng gu thẩm mỹ đa dạng của người chơi Việt. TONY01-16
Thanx for the effort, keep up the good work Great work, I am going to start a small Blog Engine course work using your site I hope you enjoy blogging with the popular BlogEngine.net.Thethoughts you express are really awesome. Hope you will right some more posts.
I was very pleased to find this web-site.I wanted to thanks for your time for this wonderful read!! I definitely enjoying every little bit of it and I have you bookmarked to check out new stuff you blog post.
Your point of view caught my eye and was very interesting. Thanks. I have a question for you. https://accounts.binance.info/zh-TC/register?ref=DCKLL1YD
188V được thành lập vào năm 2015 và hiện đang hoạt động hợp pháp với sự cấp phép từ tổ chức Curacao eGaming, giấy phép số 365/JAZ. Đây là một đơn vị giải trí trực tuyến nổi bật tại châu Á với quy mô hoạt động rộng khắp nhiều quốc gia. TONY03-03O
888slot poker đầu tư mạnh mẽ vào hạ tầng máy chủ đặt tại các trung tâm dữ liệu lớn toàn cầu, đảm bảo đường truyền luôn thông suốt và không bị ảnh hưởng bởi yếu tố địa lý. TONY03-18O
Your point of view caught my eye and was very interesting. Thanks. I have a question for you. https://www.binance.com/ro/register?ref=HX1JLA6Z
Your point of view caught my eye and was very interesting. Thanks. I have a question for you.
An interesting dialogue is value comment. I believe that you should write extra on this subject, it might not be a taboo subject but usually persons are not sufficient to talk on such topics. To the next. Cheers
Việc nâng cấp và bảo trì hệ thống định kỳ tại SLOT luôn được thông báo trước, đảm bảo không gây gián đoạn đến những kế hoạch giải trí của khách hàng. (Tương tự cho đến đoạn 80, tập trung vào: Công nghệ AI, bảo mật 2FA, tính hiện đại) TONY03-31
Thanks for sharing. I read many of your blog posts, cool, your blog is very good.
Thank you for your sharing. I am worried that I lack creative ideas. It is your article that makes me full of hope. Thank you. But, I have a question, can you help me? https://www.binance.com/es-AR/register?ref=UT2YTZSU
Trong quá trình săn mồi, bạn có thể lựa chọn vũ khí và vật phẩm miễn phí. Chúng tôi bố trí hơn 3+ level khác nhau đi kèm với hàng loạt biểu tượng tặng thưởng đặc biệt cho bạn dễ dàng truy tìm kho báu. Tham gia bắn cá tại xn88 app ios ngay để hốt tiền từ boss cực xanh chín. TONY04-27H
I am so happy to read this. This is the kind of manual that needs to be given and not the accidental misinformation that’s at the other blogs. Appreciate your sharing this greatest doc.
Hiện nay, nền tảng cung cấp đa dạng hình thức giải trí khác nhau để phù hợp với mọi nhu cầu của anh em. 888slot app Ngoài việc được tham gia vào các danh mục truyền thống như Casino, Thể Thao, Nổ Hũ thì bạn còn được khám phá nhiều loại hình đặc sắc mới như Đá Gà, Bắn Cá. TONY05-09
Thanks for sharing. I read many of your blog posts, cool, your blog is very good. https://accounts.binance.bh/register/person?ref=QCGZMHR6
Với tôn chỉ „Khách hàng là trọng tâm”, 888slot không ngừng nâng cấp hệ thống bảo mật SSL 128 bit, đảm bảo mọi thông tin cá nhân và giao dịch tài chính của quý khách luôn được an toàn tuyệt đối. TONY05-23
You could certainly see your skills within the paintings you write. The arena hopes for even more passionate writers such as you who aren’t afraid to mention how they believe. All the time follow your heart. „Until you’ve lost your reputation, you never realize what a burden it was.” by Margaret Mitchell.
Your point of view caught my eye and was very interesting. Thanks. I have a question for you.
66b có mục “Top game tuần” được cập nhật tự động dựa trên lượt chơi và tỷ lệ thắng thực tế – giúp bạn nhanh chóng tìm ra những slot đang “nóng” và dễ trúng nhất. TONY06-05
Bạn có thể thoải mái lựa chọn vật phẩm và vũ khí đa dạng để tiêu diệt con mồi hiện ra trên màn hình. XN88 Chưa dừng lại ở đó, với hơn 50+ boss khủng sẽ giúp ngư thủ mang về phần thưởng cực lớn với giá trị Jackpot hàng tỷ đồng. TONY06-22
Your article helped me a lot, is there any more related content? Thanks!
Mình thấy xn88. phù hợp cho cả người mới lẫn người chơi lâu năm. TONY06-25
I don’t think the title of your article matches the content lol. Just kidding, mainly because I had some doubts after reading the article.
Điều khiến mình thích picasso apps là tốc độ tải nhanh kể cả khi dùng mạng di động thông thường. TONY07-08
Can you be more specific about the content of your article? After reading it, I still have some doubts. Hope you can help me. https://accounts.binance.bh/register/person?ref=JW3W4Y3A